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National Practice Brief

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Ventura County: How to Measure Whether a Layoff Was Actually Averted

“Jobs saved” is an appealing layoff-aversion metric, but it can become meaningless if every employer receiving assistance gets credit for every job that remains. Ventura County offers a stronger measurement model.

297jobs WDB Ventura County reports saved in PY 2025-26
6 weekshistorical retention checkpoint used before counting at-risk jobs as retained
4,077business services delivered countywide in PY 2025-26

The measurement problem

A business may receive assistance and avoid layoffs for reasons unrelated to the intervention. A planned layoff may also be delayed rather than prevented. Without a clear definition, “jobs saved” can reward activity rather than impact.

Ventura built follow-up into the metric.

Ventura County’s historical layoff-aversion contract scorecards counted “jobs at risk and retained after completion of all employer services and at 6 weeks retention.” The same scorecard separately tracked at-risk employers served, incumbent workers trained, spending, and employer satisfaction. That creates a cleaner distinction between services delivered and the workforce outcome.

The current system still reports the outcome.

WDB Ventura County’s PY 2025-26 annual report identifies 297 jobs saved by preventing layoffs, alongside 1,132 businesses served and 4,077 business services. The public report does not provide the same detailed methodology as the older scorecard, so the historical documentation remains useful for understanding how a stronger verification approach can work.

A stronger WDB definition

Do not count a job because the employer received a service. Document that the job was credibly at risk, identify the intervention, confirm that the position remained, and use a follow-up period. Where possible, record the reason the employer believes the intervention changed the outcome.

A practical measurement ladder

  1. Employer screened: potential risk identified.
  2. At-risk jobs documented: employer confirms positions were reasonably expected to be reduced or eliminated.
  3. Intervention completed: layoff-aversion service is delivered.
  4. Jobs retained: identified jobs remain after the intervention.
  5. Retention verified: jobs remain at a defined follow-up point.
  6. Business survival: for intensive turnaround cases, check again at 6 or 12 months.

Sources

WDB Ventura County, 2025-26 Annual Report
WDB Ventura County, 2018-19 Business Retention/Layoff Aversion scorecard

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